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Italy

Serie A Predictions

Italy · season 2026-27 · 20 clubs

Serie A predictions by our AI, every matchday. Italy remains the home of goal lines: organised blocks, tactical endgames and stark contrasts between front-foot sides and 1-0 specialists. Our xG-fed Dixon-Coles model estimates 1X2 and Over/Under probabilities before every game — historically one of the strongest 1X2 leagues in our coverage, as our public journal shows — with standings, scorers, most likely correct score and a written analysis per fixture.

3,11
goals / match
60 %
matches over 2.5
58 %
BTTS matches
3,4
cards / match
9,7
corners / match
110
matches played · season 2026-27

Upcoming analysed matches

Latest results

08/11SSC Napoli — SS Lazio1–1
08/11AC Monza — Atalanta BC0–1
08/11Inter Milan — Como 19072–0
08/11Genoa CFC — AC Milan1–2
08/11ACF Fiorentina — Juventus2–2
07/11Torino FC — US Lecce1–1
07/11Parma Calcio — Bologna FC1–2
07/11Cagliari Calcio — Frosinone Calcio1–0
07/11AS Roma — US Sassuolo3–0
06/11Venezia FC — Udinese Calcio2–1

Top scorers

season 2026-27
1 Lautaro MartínezInter Milan 17 goals 6 assists
2 D. MalenAS Roma 14 goals 2 assists
3 T. DouvikasComo 1907 14 goals 1 assists
4 M. ThuramInter Milan 13 goals 6 assists
5 N. PazComo 1907 12 goals 6 assists

Standings

season 2026-27
#ClubPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 SS Lazio 11920 259+16 29 WWWWD
2 Inter Milan 11911 2813+15 28 WWWLW
3 AS Roma 11830 3110+21 27 WDWWW
4 AC Milan 11731 2313+10 24 WWLWW
5 Como 1907 11722 1810+8 23 WWWWL
6 Frosinone Calcio 11623 2415+9 20 WDWWL
7 Juventus 11533 1512+3 18 LWLWD
8 Bologna FC 11524 1614+2 17 LWWWW
9 Cagliari Calcio 11515 1015-5 16 LLLLW
10 SSC Napoli 11434 1814+4 15 LDWLD
11 Torino FC 11425 1517-2 14 WWLLD
12 Atalanta BC 11425 1720-3 14 LDDLW
13 Genoa CFC 11416 1116-5 13 LWWWL
14 US Lecce 11317 1222-10 10 WLLLD
15 ACF Fiorentina 11236 1725-8 9 LLDWD
16 Parma Calcio 11227 917-8 8 LLDWL
17 US Sassuolo 11227 1629-13 8 LLLLL
18 AC Monza 11218 1725-8 7 WLLLL
19 Venezia FC 11209 821-13 6 WLLLW
20 Udinese Calcio 11128 1225-13 5 LLDLL
European spots Relegation Zones indicative — play-offs and relegation play-outs not detailed.

What our model is really worth on this league

Our engine (Dixon-Coles) runs under observation: calls stay "AI Trends" until the return is proven in live conditions — every trend is timestamped, settled against the final score and counted below, never dressed up. The line-by-line detail is public: trends journal.

Match result (1X2)
sample still building
26 trends evaluated
Over/Under 2.5
sample still building
20 trends evaluated

Latest settled trends

Published before kick-off, settled as-is — wins and losses alike.

08/11 SSC Napoli – SS Lazio btts_yes @ 1,62 ✓
08/11 AC Monza – Atalanta BC btts_yes @ 1,50 ✗
08/11 Inter Milan – Como 1907 btts_yes @ 1,50 ✗
08/11 Genoa CFC – AC Milan btts_no @ 1,87 ✗
08/11 ACF Fiorentina – Juventus btts_yes @ 1,67 ✓
08/11 SSC Napoli – SS Lazio under35 @ 1,45 ✓

Frequently asked questions

Which markets are covered?

1X2 (match result) and Over/Under 2.5 goals on every covered match, plus the most likely correct scores. Every prediction is timestamped, then settled against the closing odds in our public journal — wins and losses alike.

When are predictions published?

Model probabilities are computed up to 7 days ahead and refreshed several times a day as odds move. The written analysis of each match is published before kick-off.

Are Serie A predictions free?

Yes. The analysis of each match and the model probabilities are free. The detailed recommendation (market, odds and value) is reserved for subscribers.

How are these predictions generated?

By our AI model (Dixon-Coles + xG), recomputed before each match from recent form, team statistics and market odds, to estimate 1X2 and Over/Under probabilities and spot value.

Does ProbWin cover every Serie A match?

We publish analysis and model probabilities for Serie A matches as soon as the data (likely lineups, odds, recent form) is available, throughout the season.

Where can I see the Serie A table and stats?

On this page: full standings, recent form, top scorers and Serie A scoring averages, shown alongside the model's probabilities for each match.

All our predictions: football. To understand the method behind our predictions, see how our AI works.

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