Primeira Liga Predictions
Liga Portugal predictions by our AI, every matchday. Portugal runs on contrast: three European heavyweights and a fiercely contested lower half — a profile that makes goal lines especially readable for a well-calibrated model. Portugal is where our Over/Under holds one of its strongest certified track records, as our public journal shows.
Latest results
Top scorers
season 2026-27Standings
season 2026-27| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto |
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 5 | +22 | 33 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica |
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 10 | +20 | 28 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Sp Lisbon |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 11 | +13 | 24 | DWLWW |
| 4 |  Santa Clara |
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 21 | DWLWL |
| 5 |  Arouca |
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 20 | DWWWL |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu |
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 20 | WWWWL |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 18 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  SC Braga |
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 17 | LLLWW |
| 9 |  Moreirense |
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 14 | DLWWL |
| 10 |  Famalicao |
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 13 | WLWLW |
| 11 |  Alverca |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 12 | WWLLD |
| 12 |  Estrela |
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 13 |  Nacional |
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 | LLWLW |
| 14 |  Guimaraes |
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 9 | DLWDL |
| 15 |  Maritimo |
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 8 | LDLLL |
| 16 |  Casa Pia |
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 8 | WLWLD |
| 17 |  Rio Ave |
11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 7 | LWLLL |
| 18 |  Estoril |
10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 2 | LLLLL |
What our model is really worth on this league
Our engine (Dixon-Coles) runs under observation: calls stay "AI Trends" until the return is proven in live conditions — every trend is timestamped, settled against the final score and counted below, never dressed up. The line-by-line detail is public: trends journal.
Latest settled trends
Published before kick-off, settled as-is — wins and losses alike.
Frequently asked questions
Which markets are covered?
1X2 (match result) and Over/Under 2.5 goals on every covered match, plus the most likely correct scores. Every prediction is timestamped, then settled against the closing odds in our public journal — wins and losses alike.
When are predictions published?
Model probabilities are computed up to 7 days ahead and refreshed several times a day as odds move. The written analysis of each match is published before kick-off.
Are Primeira Liga predictions free?
Yes. The analysis of each match and the model probabilities are free. The detailed recommendation (market, odds and value) is reserved for subscribers.
How are these predictions generated?
By our AI model (Dixon-Coles + xG), recomputed before each match from recent form, team statistics and market odds, to estimate 1X2 and Over/Under probabilities and spot value.
Does ProbWin cover every Primeira Liga match?
We publish analysis and model probabilities for Primeira Liga matches as soon as the data (likely lineups, odds, recent form) is available, throughout the season.
Where can I see the Primeira Liga table and stats?
On this page: full standings, recent form, top scorers and Primeira Liga scoring averages, shown alongside the model's probabilities for each match.
All our predictions: football. To understand the method behind our predictions, see how our AI works.
