Liga MX Predictions
Liga MX predictions by our AI across the Apertura and Clausura. The Americas' most-watched league is also one of its most singular: two tournaments a year, a decisive Liguilla, and extreme altitudes — Mexico City at 2,240 m, Toluca at 2,660 m — that genuinely weigh on visiting teams. Newly added to our coverage: the model's record on this league is being built right here, in public, with no filtering.
Upcoming analysed matches
Latest results
Standings
season 2026| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 37 | 26 | +11 | 32 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 23 | +15 | 30 | WLDDD |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 15 | +11 | 30 | DWWWD |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 21 | +14 | 27 | DDDDW |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 27 | WLWWL |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 25 | WWLWW |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | +2 | 23 | LWDLD |
| 8 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 20 | +9 | 22 | LLWWW |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 22 | DWDDL |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 25 | +1 | 21 | WWLDL |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 | WLDWD |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 19 | DLLLW |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 19 | DWWLL |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 15 | DLDLL |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 14 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 | LLDLW |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 11 | LLDWW |
What our model is really worth on this league
Our engine (Dixon-Coles) runs under observation: calls stay "AI Trends" until the return is proven in live conditions — every trend is timestamped, settled against the final score and counted below, never dressed up. The line-by-line detail is public: trends journal.
Latest settled trends
Published before kick-off, settled as-is — wins and losses alike.
Frequently asked questions
Which markets are covered?
1X2 (match result) and Over/Under 2.5 goals on every covered match, plus the most likely correct scores. Every prediction is timestamped, then settled against the closing odds in our public journal — wins and losses alike.
When are predictions published?
Model probabilities are computed up to 7 days ahead and refreshed several times a day as odds move. The written analysis of each match is published before kick-off.
Are Liga MX predictions free?
Yes. The analysis of each match and the model probabilities are free. The detailed recommendation (market, odds and value) is reserved for subscribers.
How are these predictions generated?
By our AI model (Dixon-Coles + xG), recomputed before each match from recent form, team statistics and market odds, to estimate 1X2 and Over/Under probabilities and spot value.
Does ProbWin cover every Liga MX match?
We publish analysis and model probabilities for Liga MX matches as soon as the data (likely lineups, odds, recent form) is available, throughout the season.
Where can I see the Liga MX table and stats?
On this page: full standings, recent form, top scorers and Liga MX scoring averages, shown alongside the model's probabilities for each match.
All our predictions: football. To understand the method behind our predictions, see how our AI works.
