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Premier League Predictions

England · season 2026-27 · 20 clubs

Premier League predictions by our AI, updated every matchday. England is the most efficient betting market in the world — which is exactly why we publish calibrated probabilities instead of invented certainties: when our model says 60 %, it has historically been right about 6 times out of 10, and you can verify it in our journal. For every fixture: 1X2 and Over/Under 2.5 probabilities from our xG-fed Dixon-Coles model, market odds comparison, most likely correct score and a written analysis before kick-off.

2,73
goals / match
47 %
matches over 2.5
49 %
BTTS matches
4,3
cards / match
9,5
corners / match
100
matches played · season 2026-27

Upcoming analysed matches

Latest results

08/11Sunderland — Chelsea1–0
08/11Manchester United — Aston Villa4–4
08/11Ipswich Town — AFC Bournemouth1–2
08/11Crystal Palace — Liverpool1–3
08/11Brighton — Brentford2–0
07/11Nottingham Forest — Manchester City3–1
07/11Leeds United — Tottenham1–0
07/11Fulham — Newcastle United1–1
07/11Arsenal — Hull1–0
06/11Everton — Coventry3–1

Top scorers

season 2026-27
1 E. HaalandManchester City 27 goals 8 assists
2 ThiagoBrentford 22 goals 1 assists
3 O. WatkinsAston Villa 16 goals 3 assists
4 João PedroChelsea 15 goals 5 assists
5 M. Gibbs-WhiteNottingham Forest 15 goals 4 assists

Standings

season 2026-27
#ClubPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 10901 155+10 27 WWWWW
2 Brighton 10712 267+19 22 WWLWW
3 Manchester City 10703 2113+8 21 WWLLL
4 Liverpool 10532 1410+4 18 LWWLW
5 Chelsea 10514 1916+3 16 WWLWL
6 Everton 10442 1210+2 16 DLLWW
7 AFC Bournemouth 10433 1614+2 15 LWWWW
8 Brentford 10352 1611+5 14 DLDWL
9 Leeds United 10352 108+2 14 LDDLW
10 Aston Villa 10343 1417-3 13 DWWDD
11 Tottenham 10334 1011-1 12 DWWWL
12 Newcastle United 10334 1316-3 12 LLWLD
13 Hull 10253 11110 11 DLDDL
14 Ipswich Town 10325 1520-5 11 WLDDL
15 Fulham 10244 1012-2 10 LWWDD
16 Nottingham Forest 10235 913-4 9 LLDLW
17 Coventry 10307 1019-9 9 WLLWL
18 Manchester United 10154 1419-5 8 DDLLD
19 Sunderland 10226 817-9 8 LLDLW
20 Crystal Palace 10217 1024-14 7 WLLLL
European spots Relegation Zones indicative — play-offs and relegation play-outs not detailed.

What our model is really worth on this league

Our engine (Dixon-Coles) runs under observation: calls stay "AI Trends" until the return is proven in live conditions — every trend is timestamped, settled against the final score and counted below, never dressed up. The line-by-line detail is public: trends journal.

Over/Under 2.5
49 %
winning calls · n=37
Match result (1X2)
sample still building
20 trends evaluated

Latest settled trends

Published before kick-off, settled as-is — wins and losses alike.

08/11 Sunderland – Chelsea btts_yes @ 1,73 ✗
08/11 Manchester United – Aston Villa btts_yes @ 1,50 ✓
08/11 Ipswich Town – AFC Bournemouth btts_yes @ 1,62 ✓
08/11 Crystal Palace – Liverpool btts_yes @ 1,62 ✓
08/11 Brighton – Brentford btts_yes @ 1,57 ✗
08/11 Sunderland – Chelsea under35 @ 1,41 ✓

Frequently asked questions

Which markets are covered?

1X2 (match result) and Over/Under 2.5 goals on every covered match, plus the most likely correct scores. Every prediction is timestamped, then settled against the closing odds in our public journal — wins and losses alike.

When are predictions published?

Model probabilities are computed up to 7 days ahead and refreshed several times a day as odds move. The written analysis of each match is published before kick-off.

Are Premier League predictions free?

Yes. The analysis of each match and the model probabilities are free. The detailed recommendation (market, odds and value) is reserved for subscribers.

How are these predictions generated?

By our AI model (Dixon-Coles + xG), recomputed before each match from recent form, team statistics and market odds, to estimate 1X2 and Over/Under probabilities and spot value.

Does ProbWin cover every Premier League match?

We publish analysis and model probabilities for Premier League matches as soon as the data (likely lineups, odds, recent form) is available, throughout the season.

Where can I see the Premier League table and stats?

On this page: full standings, recent form, top scorers and Premier League scoring averages, shown alongside the model's probabilities for each match.

All our predictions: football. To understand the method behind our predictions, see how our AI works.

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