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J1 League Predictions

Japan · season 2025-26 · 23 clubs

J1 League predictions by our AI, across Japan's calendar-year season. The J1 is a precision league — constant intensity, tight margins and tactical discipline that makes games more readable for a statistical model than many European leagues. Japan is one of the very few championships where our 1X2 passed our strictest certification: proven positive returns against real odds across multiple seasons, verifiable in our public journal.

2,56
goals / match
48 %
matches over 2.5
49 %
BTTS matches
2,5
cards / match
9,7
corners / match
539
matches played · season 2025-26
No matches scheduled for this period yet — check back soon, the list updates automatically.

Latest results

08/11Vissel Kobe — Urawa Reds2–2
08/11Machida — Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–0
08/11JEF United Chiba — Mito HollyHock1–0
08/11Gamba Osaka — Cerezo Osaka2–3
07/11Yokohama F. Marinos — Okayama1–1
07/11Shimizu S-Pulse — Verdy0–1
07/11Nagoya Grampus — Kyoto0–2
07/11Kashiwa Reysol — Kawasaki Frontale2–1
07/11FC Tokyo — Kashima Antlers2–0
07/11Avispa Fukuoka — V-Varen Nagasaki1–1

Top scorers

season 2025-26
1 Léo CearáKashima 10 goals 3 assists
2 K. TanimuraYokohama F. Marinos 10 goals 2 assists
3 Y. YamagishiNagoya Grampus 10 goals
4 Y. KimuraNagoya Grampus 9 goals 2 assists
5 S. SakuragawaCerezo Osaka 8 goals 1 assists

Standings

season 2025-26
#ClubPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Kashiwa Reysol 5432139 9757+40 109 LDWWW
2 Kashima Antlers 5431914 8960+29 102 WDLWL
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 53301112 7938+41 101 WLWWD
4 Vissel Kobe 54271314 7449+25 94 WLDWD
5 Machida 54261513 8651+35 93 WWDDD
6 Kyoto 54241515 8469+15 87 LDDWW
7 FC Tokyo 54231516 7761+16 84 WDWWW
8 Urawa Reds 54231318 6971-2 82 WWWLD
9 Kawasaki Frontale 53211616 9582+13 79 WWWLL
10 Cerezo Osaka 54191619 8185-4 73 LDDLW
11 Gamba Osaka 54201321 7482-8 73 DWDDL
12 Yokohama F. Marinos 54181521 7163+8 69 DDDWD
13 Okayama 54181224 5366-13 66 LWLLD
14 Avispa Fukuoka 54151524 5266-14 60 LLLLD
15 Shimizu S-Pulse 54151425 5278-26 59 DLLLL
16 Nagoya Grampus 54151326 6283-21 58 WDDLL
17 Verdy 54141624 3868-30 58 LDWWW
18 Yokohama FC 389821 2745-18 35 DLLLW
19 Shonan Bellmare 388822 3663-27 32 DLWWL
20 Albirex Niigata 3841222 3667-31 24 LDLLD
21 V-Varen Nagasaki 16547 1922-3 19 LWLLD
22 JEF United Chiba 16358 1928-9 14 DLDWW
23 Mito HollyHock 162311 1228-16 9 LLLLL
Continental spots Relegation Zones indicative — play-offs and relegation play-outs not detailed.

What our model is really worth on this league

Our engine (Dixon-Coles) runs under observation: calls stay "AI Trends" until the return is proven in live conditions — every trend is timestamped, settled against the final score and counted below, never dressed up. The line-by-line detail is public: trends journal.

Match result (1X2)
46 %
winning calls · n=81
Over/Under 2.5
48 %
winning calls · n=80

Latest settled trends

Published before kick-off, settled as-is — wins and losses alike.

08/11 Vissel Kobe – Urawa Reds btts_yes @ 1,67 ✓
08/11 Machida – Sanfrecce Hiroshima btts_yes @ 1,67 ✗
08/11 JEF United Chiba – Mito HollyHock btts_yes @ 1,80 ✗
08/11 Gamba Osaka – Cerezo Osaka btts_no @ 2,28 ✗
08/11 Vissel Kobe – Urawa Reds under35 @ 1,40 ✗
08/11 Vissel Kobe – Urawa Reds over15 @ 1,26 ✓

Frequently asked questions

Which markets are covered?

1X2 (match result) and Over/Under 2.5 goals on every covered match, plus the most likely correct scores. Every prediction is timestamped, then settled against the closing odds in our public journal — wins and losses alike.

When are predictions published?

Model probabilities are computed up to 7 days ahead and refreshed several times a day as odds move. The written analysis of each match is published before kick-off.

Are J1 League predictions free?

Yes. The analysis of each match and the model probabilities are free. The detailed recommendation (market, odds and value) is reserved for subscribers.

How are these predictions generated?

By our AI model (Dixon-Coles + xG), recomputed before each match from recent form, team statistics and market odds, to estimate 1X2 and Over/Under probabilities and spot value.

Does ProbWin cover every J1 League match?

We publish analysis and model probabilities for J1 League matches as soon as the data (likely lineups, odds, recent form) is available, throughout the season.

Where can I see the J1 League table and stats?

On this page: full standings, recent form, top scorers and J1 League scoring averages, shown alongside the model's probabilities for each match.

All our predictions: football. To understand the method behind our predictions, see how our AI works.

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