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Eliteserien Predictions

Norway · season 2026 · 16 clubs

Eliteserien predictions by our AI across Norway's calendar season. A league of extreme conditions — artificial pitches, trips to the Arctic Circle, fortresses like Bodø/Glimt's Aspmyra — and resolutely attacking football: 2.99 goals per game and 58 % of matches over 2.5 in our last two seasons of data.

3,31
goals / match
64 %
matches over 2.5
60 %
BTTS matches
3,6
cards / match
10,9
corners / match
208
matches played · season 2026

Upcoming analysed matches

Latest results

09/11Kristiansund BK — Valerenga1–0
08/11Viking — KFUM Oslo5–1
08/11Tromso — Bodo/Glimt0–2
08/11Sandefjord — Molde5–5
08/11Lillestrom — Aalesund3–2
08/11Ham-Kam — Sarpsborg 08 FF3–0
08/11Fredrikstad — Brann2–2
07/11Rosenborg — Start4–1
01/11Valerenga — Tromso4–0
01/11Start — Lillestrom0–1

Top scorers

season 2026
1 K. HøghBodo/Glimt 7 goals 4 assists
2 P. ChristiansenViking 6 goals 3 assists
3 J. Hjertø-DahlTromso 6 goals 2 assists
4 E. BreivikMolde 6 goals 1 assists
5 E. HestadMolde 5 goals 2 assists

Standings

season 2026
#ClubPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Viking 262024 6927+42 62 WWWLW
2 Bodo/Glimt 262024 6323+40 62 WWLWW
3 Rosenborg 261448 5332+21 46 DWWWW
4 Lillestrom 261439 3935+4 45 DWWWW
5 Molde 261358 6444+20 44 DWWLD
6 Tromso 261178 4340+3 40 DDLLL
7 Brann 2610313 4744+3 33 LLLWD
8 Valerenga 269512 4347-4 32 LWWWL
9 Sarpsborg 08 FF 268711 3242-10 31 WLWLL
10 KFUM Oslo 268711 3346-13 31 WDDDL
11 Ham-Kam 268612 3853-15 30 WLLDW
12 Fredrikstad 268612 3146-15 30 DLLLD
13 Sandefjord 267712 3139-8 28 DLLWD
14 Kristiansund BK 267514 3051-21 26 LLDWW
15 Aalesund 265912 4560-15 24 LWLLL
16 Start 265417 2759-32 19 LLWLL
European spots Relegation Zones indicative — play-offs and relegation play-outs not detailed.

What our model is really worth on this league

Our engine (Dixon-Coles) runs under observation: calls stay "AI Trends" until the return is proven in live conditions — every trend is timestamped, settled against the final score and counted below, never dressed up. The line-by-line detail is public: trends journal.

Over/Under 2.5
68 %
winning calls · n=71
Match result (1X2)
54 %
winning calls · n=71

Latest settled trends

Published before kick-off, settled as-is — wins and losses alike.

09/11 Kristiansund BK – Valerenga btts_yes @ 1,36 ✗
09/11 Kristiansund BK – Valerenga under35 @ 1,86 ✓
09/11 Kristiansund BK – Valerenga over15 @ 1,12 ✗
09/11 Kristiansund BK – Valerenga dnb_away @ 1,57 ✗
09/11 Kristiansund BK – Valerenga dc_12 @ 1,25 ✓
09/11 Kristiansund BK – Valerenga Over 2.5 @ 1,40 ✗

Frequently asked questions

Which markets are covered?

1X2 (match result) and Over/Under 2.5 goals on every covered match, plus the most likely correct scores. Every prediction is timestamped, then settled against the closing odds in our public journal — wins and losses alike.

When are predictions published?

Model probabilities are computed up to 7 days ahead and refreshed several times a day as odds move. The written analysis of each match is published before kick-off.

Are Eliteserien predictions free?

Yes. The analysis of each match and the model probabilities are free. The detailed recommendation (market, odds and value) is reserved for subscribers.

How are these predictions generated?

By our AI model (Dixon-Coles + xG), recomputed before each match from recent form, team statistics and market odds, to estimate 1X2 and Over/Under probabilities and spot value.

Does ProbWin cover every Eliteserien match?

We publish analysis and model probabilities for Eliteserien matches as soon as the data (likely lineups, odds, recent form) is available, throughout the season.

Where can I see the Eliteserien table and stats?

On this page: full standings, recent form, top scorers and Eliteserien scoring averages, shown alongside the model's probabilities for each match.

All our predictions: football. To understand the method behind our predictions, see how our AI works.

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